Photo Credit: Boston.com
Here's the first of many weekly Survivor Pool picks for the NFL season starting with Week 2. I do these for fun and for competition, the strategy of survivor pools is to pick one winner each week but you can't pick them twice. So here are my pick split up by My Pick of the Week, Best Bets, Lean Picks and Trap Games Hopefully my picks help you and me move on to Week 3.
My Pick of the Week:
New England Patriots (-6) at New York Jets
Despite their Week 1 performance, the Patriots are in good shape for a week to rebound against the New York jets. The Jets did not look good in week 1 against the Panthers, as they struggled to score offensively against the speedy Panthers defense. To make matters words tackle Mekhi Becton is not expected to play. With him in the lineup the Jets still struggled to keep Zach Wilson upright. Look for the Patriots defense to take advantage, and Mac Jones to not his first win as a starter. Mac Jones had a solid start to his career in Week 1, completing 29 of 39 pass attempts for 281 yards and a touchdown. The Patriots have future value as they face the Houston Texans down the line, but this is such a good pick this week I couldn't pass on it.
Green Bay Packers (-10.5) vs. Detroit Lions
The Green Bay Packers looked lifeless in Week 1 against the New Orleans Saints. But two weeks in a row, I have a hard time believing that. I expect the Green Bay Packers to bounce back against the Lions team that gave up 41 points at home to the 49ers in week one. Not to mention lost cornerback Jeff Okudah for the season after he tore his Achilles tendon against the 49ers. I expect Aaron Rogers, Devante Adams and Aaron Jones all figured to have big games as the Packers have not lost a home opener in over 8 years. I expect the Packers, even as heavy favorites, to get their first win.
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-12.5) vs. Atlanta Falcons
This is an obvious pick, as Tampa Bay is clearly Head and shoulders above the Atlanta Falcons. The only reason that this isn't my lead pick is because I want to save Tampa Bay for when I really need them in other futures. They'll play Atlanta again as a division rival and have matchups against the Giants, Bears and Jets. Pick 'em is all about strategy picking against the grain and not picking the heavy favorites unless you absolutely need to. The Falcons defense gave up 434 yards to the Eagles and their offensive line did not hold up for Matt Ryan. The Eagles basically harassed Ryan with just a four-man rush. With that being said, if Jalen Hurts can go off for 30 plus points, Tom Brady should have a feast with that defense. The offense for the Falcons didn't look any better as they struggle to get into the end zone.
Cleveland Browns (-12.5) vs. Houston Texans
Cleveland or heavy favorites going into their matchup versus the Houston Texans. They are at home and showed me a lot despite losing their opener against the Kansas City chiefs. Despite Houston's surprising Week 1 performance, Trevor Lawrence was able to move the ball at ease against that Texans defense. Expect Cleveland to do the same but the future value is so high, I want to save the Browns for other matchups. There are better plays on the board in Week 2 so I can save Cleveland for a Week 11 matchup vs the Lions. This might be a risky pic but it's a safe pic if you want to get a little variety and go against the grain.
Seattle Seahawks (-5.5) vs. Tennessee Titans
Tennessee isn't as bad as their performance in week 1 against the Arizona Cardinals. However I don't think the Titans are as good as everybody thought they would be this year despite picking up Julio Jones. I fully expect Seattle to win this game, but this can go either way. I expect Russell Wilson to move the ball down the field and score, but Tennessee might be able to score against a Seahawks defense that isn't as good as past years. The Titans can easily pull ahead late in this game and steal a win. I would avoid this game if possible but it's not a completely risky pick.
New Orleans Saints (-4) at Carolina Panthers
Why do I think this is a trap game, because I'm still not sold on the Saints just yet. They have a really good defense and Jameis Winston put on a heck of a performance in week one. But the Panthers have a fast defense and a dynamic runner in Christian McCaffery. They might be able to keep this close enough to pull ahead late. Survivor pools are really reliant on that one team to get you to the next week. It's hard for me to put my money on the Saints.
Cincinnati Bengals (+2.5) at Chicago Bears
The fact that the Chicago Bears are favorites after their Week 1 performance against the Los Angeles Rams is a clear trap pick for me. I always say if you're the home team and less than a 3-point favorite, then you're not the favorite. Bengals offense can score on this Bears defense that didn't look very good in the secondary in Week 1. Joe Burrow was able to move the ball down the field against the Vikings defense and I wouldn't expect his connection with Ja'Marr Chase and Tee Higgins to go off against the Bears defense. But this game is too close to pick, I'm avoiding it at all costs