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NFL Survivor Pool Picks for Week 11

Survivor Pools should almost be cleaned out by now. If you're lucky enough to still be in yours, you have some tough games to choose from. They are some big spreads but the teams that are favorites are hard to trust right now. The Villain is here to guide you through some tough games to get you on to Week 12 in one piece.

Running totals (based on top picks only)

  • Last week vs Best Picks: 0-2

  • Season vs Best Picks: 18-9

  • Trap games: 10-4

Best Picks

Tennessee Titans (-10.5) vs Houston Texans

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The Tennessee Titans have been rolling, even without star Derrick Henry. They are a tough team that has weathered the early storm from the season. The Titans are currently the #1 seed in the AFC and tied for the best record in the NFL at 8-2. They've beaten five straight playoff teams from last season, so they potentially could be a trap game. The Titans-Texans game can be dangerous because it’s a divisional game. But Houston just doesn’t have what it takes to beat a good team, I’d push my chips in on this game.

Cleveland Browns (-11.5) Vs. Detroit Lions

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Cleveland is struggling but this is a must win game. The Detroit Lions came close to beating Pittsburgh, but the Steelers were without QB Ben Roethlisberger. The Lions starting quarterback Jared Goff is injured with an oblique strain and won't be close to 100%. He hasn’t practiced yet this week so if he play, she won’t be nearly as effective. The Browns passing game isn't much better as they just aren’t hitting on big plays. This game will be an ugly low scoring game, not sure why Vegas has a double digital spread, but the Browns should win. The Browns have little to no value for the rest of the season, so I would use them here if you had to.

Lean Games

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-11.0) vs New York Giants

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The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are struggling right now as they have lost 2 straight games. New Orleans and Washington aren’t great matchups for the Bucs as they are physical up front. They can pressure QB Tom Brady up the middle and get him off his spot. What’s most disturbing about their Week 10 lost to the Washington Football Team is that it’s coming off their bye week. The New York Giants have won 2 of their last 3, and should have won against the Chiefs on Monday Night. They have a solid enough defensive line and the return of Saquon Barkley / Andrew Thomas will help their rushing attack. The run game will be huge as Jason Pierre-Paul and Vita Vea have popped up on the injury report. I think the Bucs will win a close game but it might be too close to risk your survivor hopes on.

Trap Games

New England Patriots (-7.0) vs Atlanta Falcons

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The New England Patriots are one of the hotter teams in the league as they have won 4 straight games and 5 of their last 6 contests. Mac Jones is as steady as they come for a rookie QB and the offense has figured out a way for him to thrive. The defense is getting back to their normal habits of forcing mistakes. The Patriots are rolling and could end up winning this game big. However, it's a road game against an occasionally dangerous Atlanta Falcons team. Before Sunday’s beat down at the hands of the Cowboys, the Falcons had won 3 of their last 4 games. The injuries are mounting but it’s a clear trap game.

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